Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 4.738991 5.138601 5.571125 6.076683 6.654766 7.299230 8.077798
2025-03-30 4.001780 4.531516 5.144932 5.917685 6.879855 8.059103 9.647851
2025-04-06 3.544201 4.125893 4.829716 5.762541 6.996394 8.619654 11.005051
2025-04-13 3.222268 3.828132 4.585598 5.629396 7.077873 9.098365 12.300520
2025-04-20 2.997683 3.622000 4.424315 5.567605 7.222928 9.659127 13.810380
2025-04-27 2.885163 3.545304 4.417523 5.704097 7.652433 10.693258 16.324976
2025-05-04 2.787816 3.477231 4.411031 5.832603 8.078039 11.788376 19.271988
2025-05-11 2.658378 3.353842 4.314036 5.812429 8.260640 12.501900 21.715397
2025-05-18 2.537180 3.232542 4.208650 5.765414 8.387348 13.131876 24.202741
2025-05-25 2.394210 3.071377 4.033074 5.590755 8.272276 13.283195 25.634782
2025-06-01 2.279655 2.944328 3.899266 5.470183 8.235344 13.577764 27.544969
2025-06-08 2.209302 2.877034 3.849991 5.481445 8.434218 14.387789 31.224274
2025-06-15 2.160483 2.842769 3.854863 5.594150 8.858991 15.831994 37.894473
2025-06-22 2.052854 2.716388 3.710315 5.441717 8.759021 16.083547 40.900259
2025-06-29 1.957449 2.603654 3.580428 5.303692 8.670079 16.345423 44.205706
2025-07-06 1.874264 2.505363 3.467579 5.186004 8.606851 16.658407 48.041737
2025-07-13 1.810512 2.433755 3.393386 5.131373 8.667824 17.311495 54.126288
2025-07-20 1.786243 2.421568 3.414524 5.251970 9.120948 19.168626 69.052802
2025-07-27 1.761797 2.407600 3.431342 5.365348 9.576674 21.209454 89.803317
2025-08-03 1.715102 2.356233 3.382199 5.347559 9.726560 22.360783 107.466512
2025-08-10 1.667252 2.300996 3.323467 5.306088 9.814252 23.345204 127.223259
2025-08-17 1.603066 2.217201 3.211887 5.151839 9.606317 23.237150 135.240260
2025-08-24 1.550321 2.150191 3.126609 5.045184 9.506716 23.510021 149.866218